Applying ELCC in ISOs and Utility Balancing Areas to Ensure Resource Adequacy
December 13-14, 2021 | Online :: Central Time
Engineers, economists, resource planners and analysts are constantly searching for means and methods by which they can most accurately model and inform their power system requirements to ensure that resources are available to serve load when and where needed. This symposium will examine effective load carrying capacity (ELCC), the resource adequacy (RA) methodology that offers arguably the most sophisticated overall approach to assessing the resource requirements for a particular system. The multiple components of ELCC will be considered in the two different North American resource procurement paradigms: 1) wholesale electricity markets (ISOs and RTOs) and 2) traditional vertically integrated, bi-lateral contracting markets. Discussions will range from the fundamentals of calculating ELCC across a range of resources, to conducting gap analysis for modeling deficiencies, to advanced topics such as taking into account the differing impact of accuracy vs stability calculations on market signals.
Resource adequacy (RA) is one of the critical measures power system analysts used to model reliability of service – an essential requirement – for a utility or power system operator. Multiple conditions drive the requirement for improved accuracy in ensuring system RA – transformational shifts in the grid from centralized to more distributed power generation, the increasing penetration of renewable energy resources w/radically different operating characteristics than the traditional baseload supply stack, legacy and inadequate grid infrastructure, technology shifts, the urgency for decarbonization – and a much longer list. Further mandating the need for improved RA measures is the system distress triggered by weather and other natural disasters seen more frequently by the grid across North America.
The course content will:
- Evaluate how to initiate – or improve existing – ELCC processes
- Examine how ELCC is accredited in different market contexts
- Identify the challenges for modeling, applying and adopting ELCC measures accurately
- Analyze what kind of ELCC study should be conducted and adopted
- Discuss how ELCC is applied to various power system resources
- Assess the factors associated with conducting a gap analysis
- Determine how best to conduct ELCC analysis to account for the impacts of extreme weather and assure reliability
Monday, December 13, 2021 : Central Time
12:45 – 1:00 p.m.
1:00 – 4:45 p.m.
1:00 – 1:15 p.m. :: Overview & Introductions
1:15 – 2:45 p.m. :: Challenges to Evaluating and Adopting ELCC Measures
- Market design, framework, and capacity procurement mechanism variations
- Identifying and balancing stakeholder perspectives
- Formulating a final plan for submittal and adoption to approval authorities
- State and provincial regulatory commissions
- Keeping pace with how technology advancement affects RA attainment
- Accreditation in market
- How to group resources
- How to allocate diversity benefit
2:45 – 3:00 p.m. :: Afternoon Break
3:00 – 4:45 p.m. :: Alternate ELCC Design Approaches Considered by Different Procurement/Market Power Systems
- What kind of ELCC study should be conducted?
- Average vs. marginal ELCC basis
- What are the trade-offs?
- How ELCC is applied to various resources
- Traditional (thermal) generation
- Hydro, by class
- Intermittent, renewable
- Demand response
- Hybrid plants
- Impact of accuracy vs stability calculations on market signals
- Establishing annual vs multi-year ELCC calculations
4:45 p.m. :: Adjourn for Day
Tuesday, December 14, 2021 : Central Time
8:45 – 9:00 a.m.
12:15 – 1:00 p.m.
9:00 a.m. – 4:45 p.m.
9:00 – 10:30 a.m. :: Initiating – or Improving Existing – ELCC Process
- Purpose and use of RA assessment
- System need
- Policy need
- Emerging needs
- Using new metrics
- Time slices
- Energy sufficiency across all hours of day, week, seasons
- Unserved energy
- Conducting gap analysis
- Market/procurement mechanism vs purpose and need
- Stakeholder interest and readiness
- Data availability and ELCC modeling/analysis readiness
- Access to and incorporation of relevant external data
10:30- 10:45 a.m. :: Morning Break
10:45 a.m. – 12:15 p.m. :: Initiating – or Improving Existing – ELCC Processes (cont’d)
- Penetration of non-traditional resources
- Current vs potential
- ELCC assessment considerations
- Third-party value of independent view vs internal investigator’s knowledge of system
- Internal vs third-party privacy
- Impact on market participants
- Financial impact of market/procurement
- Procedural requirements
12:15 – 1:00 p.m. :: Lunch Break
1:00 – 2:45 p.m. :: Getting ELCC Right – Managing the Changing Fleet
- Integrating renewables
- Recognizing the value of renewables on RA
- Identifying the changing system needs and make necessary mechanism adjustments (shifted system risk timing, increased ramping needs, locational voltage needs, inertia, etc.)
- Managing and recognizing storage
- Properly value the storage contribution to RA
- Providing efficient signal to encourage pairing with storage to maximize value to RA
- Plan for aging resources
- Identify the full value of traditional resources
- Making sensible retirement/replacement decisions (consideration beyond just RA)
- Distinguishing between modeling RA and the physical + operational measures required to achieve RA
2:45 – 3:00 p.m. :: Afternoon Break
3:00 – 4:45 p.m. :: Getting ELCC Right – Building Resiliency to Account for Impacts of Extreme Weather
- Transmission security and capability under extreme weather conditions
- Impact on generation availability beyond normal plant outage rate
- Correlated weather impact on renewable output
- Gas-electric system coordination
- Socio-economic benefits/considerations/outcomes when building up resiliency
- De-carbonization objectives
- Lessons learned from recent grid events and implications of RA modeling outcomes on grid operations
4:45 p.m. :: Symposium Adjournment
The Mechanics of ELCC
Monday, December 13, 2021 : Central Time
This workshop will examine the methodology, tools and processes for deriving effective load carrying capacity (ELCC). It will detail the challenges and opportunities that applying ELCC poses to IRP and other power system modelers and analysts. And the workshop will consider ways in which the industry can collaborate to refine the elements and applicability of ELCC “in the real world” of resource adequacy planning.
Attendees will cover content and engage in discussions and exercises that will allow them to:
- Assess when to use ELCC in developing planning reserve margin and resource adequacy assumptions
- Define the methodology to formulate correct ELCC analyses
- Evaluate and address challenges in applying ELCC
- Discuss what is still necessary to resolve before ELCC can be broadly applied as a reserve margin and resource adequacy planning standard
- Identify how and under what circumstances utilities and power system planners can collaborate to further develop and refine the use of ELCC in reserve margin and resource adequacy planning contexts
8:45 – 9:00 a.m.
9:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
9:00 – 9:15 am. :: Overview & Introductions
9:15 – 10:30 a.m. :: Linkage between RA and ELCC
- Setting RA objective to establish system capacity requirements
- Attainment instruments
- Capacity market – mostly for de-aggregated jurisdiction)
- Generation procurement – mostly for vertically integrated jurisdiction)
- Attainment processes to ensure that RA requirements are met
- Types of RA measures
- State-of-the-art RA measures
- Traditional generator – EFORd
- Intermittent resources – ELCC
10:30 – 10:45 a.m. :: Break
10:45 a.m. – 12:15 p.m. :: ELCC Basics
- Methodology, Tools and Processes for Deriving ELCC
- Correlation between ELCC and resource adequacy
- Defining reliability standard
- Establishing planning reserve margin (PRM)
- Determining capacity contribution evaluation
- ELCC calculations and characteristics
- Relationship to reliability metrics
- LOLP starting point and inputs
- Marginal ELCC
- Average (aka, cumulative, portfolio) ELCC
- Diversity benefit allocation
- Synergistic vs antagonistic pairing of resources
- Correlation between ELCC and resource adequacy
- Applying ELCC in Resource Planning
- Total capacity value of portfolio
- Contribution to system capacity need
- Use in capacity expansion model
- Market Applications
- Accreditation in centralized capacity markets
- Multiple frameworks
- Evaluating accreditation methods
Dr. Joseph Bowring is the President of Monitoring Analytics. Since 1999, Dr. Bowring has been the Independent Market Monitor for PJM, responsible for all market monitoring activities of PJM Interconnection. He has extensive experience in applied energy and regulatory economics. Dr. Bowring has a PhD in Economics from the University of Massachusetts. He has taught economics as a member of the faculty at Bucknell University and Villanova University. He has served as senior staff economist for the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities and as Chief Economist for the New Jersey Department of the Public Advocates Division of Rate Counsel. Dr. Bowring has also worked as an independent consulting economist.
Joe Cavicchi is Vice President with Analysis Group and is based in Boston, Massachusetts. He is an energy economist whose expertise is focused on wholesale and retail electricity markets. He conducts economic analyses evaluating the impact of regulatory policies on electricity markets, applies rigorous analytical modeling tools to power system operations, conducts power market antitrust analyses, and leads economic analyses in association with a variety of wholesale and retail power contracting arrangements. Mr. Cavicchi has extensive experience as an expert witness before the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) and other federal and state regulatory authorities. He also presents and publishes frequently on issues relevant to electricity market design and evolution. Prior to joining Analysis Group, Mr. Cavicchi was Executive Vice President at Compass Lexecon. Before that he was a staff mechanical engineer and a project manager at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Mr. Cavicchi holds an S.M. in technology policy from MIT, an S.M. in environmental engineering from Tufts University and a B.S. in mechanical engineering from the University of Connecticut.
Chris Devon is Director of Market Intelligence (West) for Customized Energy Solutions. He joined the company in 2020 and has expertise in organized market policy development and regulatory coverage. Prior to joining CES, he was a lead and senior policy developer with the CAISO. In that role with CAISO, he led numerous stakeholder initiatives and developed proposals to enhance and establish new policies. His prior experience includes designing policy for resource adequacy, transmission cost recovery, and emerging technologies. Before joining CAISO in 2015, Mr. Devon advised the Michigan Public Service Commission on wholesale energy matters and represented Michigans interests in the stakeholder processes of MISO and PJM Regional Transmission Organizations. He obtained a BA in economics from Michigan State University.
Yvonne Huang is Senior Specialist for ICAP Market Operations at the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO), where she has worked since 2020. Prior to joining the NYISO, she worked at the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) in Ontario for 8 years, culminating in the position of Senior Planner of the Capacity Market. She also served in planning and analytical roles for the Ontario Power Authority.
Pallas LeeVanSchaick is with the Market Monitoring Unit for the NYISO and Vice President of Potomac Economics. (invited)
Brian Megali is a Senior Manager in the Government, Regulatory Affairs, and Public Policy group at Exelon. He has been working in the energy industry for 15 years, with much of that time focused on environmental markets, market design, market analysis, and renewable energy project development. At Exelon, Mr. Megali leads carbon policy advocacy at the RTOs and supports a variety of other initiatives at the federal, regional, and state level. He has an undergraduate degree in International Relations from Boston University and a master’s degree in International Relations and Economics from Johns Hopkins.
Zach Ming is a Director in E3’s resource planning practice, with an emphasis on the reliability of high renewable electricity systems. He also has extensive expertise in regulatory and rate design issues, distributed resource cost effectiveness, and market design. Mr. Ming has been the lead author on several high-profile resource planning studies including Long-Run Resource Adequacy under Deep Decarbonization Pathways for California and Resource Adequacy in the Pacific Northwest. He teaches a graduate level course at Stanford University titled Electricity Economics that provides a foundation of economic principles on the topics of regulation, planning, and operation of electric utilities. He joined the firm in 2013. His prior experience includes internships at General Electric, Citigroup, Oklahoma Gas & Electric, and MAP Royalty. Mr. Ming obtained BS and MS degrees in engineering from Stanford University.
Zachary Smith is Manager of Capacity Market Design at NYISO. He has served in this organizational area for some eight years, starting first as an engineer in ICAP Market Operations, then moving to Supervisor before assuming his current position. Mr. Smith has also served the organization in roles relation to operations regional market coordination and price validation analysis. He earned a Master’s degree in Engineering and Management Science at Clarkson University and a Bachelor’s degree in Computer Engineering at Union College.
We will be using Microsoft Teams to facilitate your participation in the upcoming event. You do not need to have an existing Teams account in order to participate in the broadcast – the course will play in your browser and you will have the option of using a microphone to speak with the room and ask questions, or type any questions in via the chat window and our on-site representative will relay your question to the instructor.
- IMPORTANT NOTE: After November 30 you will not be able to join a Teams meeting using Internet Explorer 11. Microsoft recommends downloading and installing the Teams app if possible. You may also use the Edge browser or Chrome.
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- Separate meeting invitations will be sent for the morning and afternoon sessions of the course.
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- The remote meeting connection will be open approximately 30 minutes before the start of the course. We encourage you to connect as early as possible in case you experience any unforeseen problems.
Please Note: This event is being conducted entirely online. All attendees will connect and attend from their computer, one connection per purchase. For details please see our FAQ
If you are unable to attend at the scheduled date and time, we make recordings available to all registrants for three business days after the event
|Single Connection - Applying ELCC in ISOs and Utility Balancing Areas to Ensure Resource Adequacy||US $ 1195.00|
|Pack of 5 connections||US $ 4,780.00|
|Pack of 10 Connections||US $ 8,365.00|
|Pack of 20 Connections||US $ 14,340.00|
|Call us at 303.770.8800 if you have any specific questions on the volume discounts|
|* all other discounts do not apply to license packs|
This event has the following workshops:
|The Mechanics of ELCC||US $ 495.00
|Pack of 5 Connections||US $ 1980.00
|Pack of 10 Connections||US $ 3465.00
|Pack of 20 Connections||US $ 5940.00
Take advantage of these discounts!
- Attend the Course and workshop and pay US $ 1,595.00 per attendee (save US $ 95.00 each)
Your registration may be transferred to a member of your organization up to 24 hours in advance of the event. Cancellations must be received on or before November 12, 2021 in order to be refunded and will be subject to a US $195.00 processing fee per registrant. No refunds will be made after this date. Cancellations received after this date will create a credit of the tuition (less processing fee) good toward any other EUCI event. This credit will be good for six months from the cancellation date. In the event of non-attendance, all registration fees will be forfeited. In case of conference cancellation, EUCIs liability is limited to refund of the event registration fee only. For more information regarding administrative policies, such as complaints and refunds, please contact our offices at 303-770-8800